评级 vs 实际回报归因 · 更新：2026-10-02 16:10 · 共 45 个有估值锚点的标的
| 标的 | 评级 | 分析日 | 持有天数 | 基准价 | 目标价(EV) | 现价 | 实际涨跌 | 目标涨跌 | 差距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 美光科技 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-09-17 | 15 | $977.68 | $614.00 | $1097.39 | +12.2% | -37.2% | +49.4% |
| 华泰证券(H股) | 值得关注 | 2026-08-28 | 35 | HK$17.41 | HK$23.60 | HK$16.41 | -5.7% | +35.6% | -41.3% |
| 沪电股份 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-27 | 36 | ¥121.21 | ¥121.00 | ¥115.93 | -4.4% | -0.2% | -4.2% |
| 英伟达 | 强烈关注 | 2026-08-27 | 36 | $227.97 | $401.00 | $230.86 | +1.3% | +75.9% | -74.6% |
| 恒立液压 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-27 | 36 | ¥103.00 | ¥78.00 | ¥90.31 | -12.3% | -24.3% | +12.0% |
| 中国人寿(H股) | 值得关注 | 2026-08-27 | 36 | HK$29.32 | HK$33.50 | HK$27.42 | -6.5% | +14.3% | -20.7% |
| 大族数控(H股) | 值得关注 | 2026-08-27 | 36 | HK$109.50 | HK$105.00 | HK$93.60 | -14.5% | -4.1% | -10.4% |
| 嘉立创 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-27 | 36 | ¥162.03 | ¥67.00 | ¥184.73 | +14.0% | -58.6% | +72.7% |
| 台积电 | 强烈关注 | 2026-08-27 | 36 | $424.32 | $541.00 | $459.20 | +8.2% | +27.5% | -19.3% |
| 鼎龙股份 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-26 | 37 | ¥72.19 | ¥58.00 | ¥67.45 | -6.6% | -19.7% | +13.1% |
| 路维光电 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-26 | 37 | ¥66.74 | ¥56.00 | ¥64.00 | -4.1% | -16.1% | +12.0% |
| 财捷 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-26 | 37 | $344.03 | $445.00 | $282.78 | -17.8% | +29.3% | -47.2% |
| 中国平安(H股) | 值得关注 | 2026-08-26 | 37 | HK$57.30 | HK$69.05 | HK$51.95 | -9.3% | +20.5% | -29.8% |
| 快手-W | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-26 | 37 | HK$33.62 | HK$51.00 | HK$29.54 | -12.1% | +51.7% | -63.8% |
| 博通 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-25 | 38 | $362.22 | $375.00 | $343.64 | -5.1% | +3.5% | -8.7% |
| 迈威尔科技 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-25 | 38 | USD244.34 | USD231.20 | USD268.08 | +9.7% | -5.4% | +15.1% |
| 拼多多 | 强烈关注 | 2026-08-25 | 38 | $87.75 | $158.00 | $76.50 | -12.8% | +80.1% | -92.9% |
| 中际旭创 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-24 | 39 | ¥870.22 | ¥875.00 | ¥808.44 | -7.1% | +0.5% | -7.6% |
| 美的集团 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-21 | 42 | ¥84.30 | ¥75.00 | ¥80.10 | -5.0% | -11.0% | +6.0% |
| 腾讯控股 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-21 | 42 | HK$457.00 | HK$600.00 | HK$420.60 | -8.0% | +31.3% | -39.3% |
| 赛富时 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-21 | 42 | $209.47 | $244.00 | $236.69 | +13.0% | +16.5% | -3.5% |
| Indivior | 值得关注 | 2026-08-21 | 42 | $36.87 | $46.00 | $35.38 | -4.0% | +24.8% | -28.8% |
| 国投资本 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-21 | 42 | ¥6.25 | ¥8.30 | ¥6.19 | -1.0% | +32.8% | -33.8% |
| 谷歌 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-21 | 42 | $344.82 | $410.00 | $338.24 | -1.9% | +18.9% | -20.8% |
| Arm Holdings | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-13 | 50 | $284.65 | $52.00 | $292.34 | +2.7% | -81.7% | +84.4% |
| Globe Life | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-13 | 50 | $180.60 | $166.00 | $165.83 | -8.2% | -8.1% | -0.1% |
| AppLovin | 强烈关注 | 2026-08-13 | 50 | $313.11 | $332.00 | $281.31 | -10.2% | +6.0% | -16.2% |
| 宁德时代 | 强烈关注 | 2026-08-11 | 52 | ¥390.40 | ¥661.00 | ¥291.11 | -25.4% | +69.3% | -94.7% |
| 康龙化成 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-10 | 53 | ¥46.92 | ¥25.90 | ¥44.97 | -4.2% | -44.8% | +40.6% |
| 拓荆科技 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-07 | 56 | ¥690.65 | ¥483.00 | ¥640.00 | -7.3% | -30.1% | +22.7% |
| Palantir Technologies | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-06 | 57 | $155.92 | $107.00 | $190.04 | +21.9% | -31.4% | +53.3% |
| 中天科技 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-06 | 57 | ¥32.29 | ¥42.30 | ¥31.13 | -3.6% | +31.0% | -34.6% |
| 云南白药 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-05 | 58 | ¥51.70 | ¥71.50 | ¥50.44 | -2.4% | +38.3% | -40.7% |
| 胜宏科技 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-04 | 59 | ¥201.31 | ¥138.30 | ¥210.30 | +4.5% | -31.3% | +35.8% |
| 中信证券 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-04 | 59 | ¥28.05 | ¥30.50 | ¥25.86 | -7.8% | +8.7% | -16.5% |
| 华泰证券 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-04 | 59 | ¥19.62 | ¥21.90 | ¥17.80 | -9.3% | +11.6% | -20.9% |
| 海康威视 | 强烈关注 | 2026-08-04 | 59 | ¥38.63 | ¥62.00 | ¥32.46 | -16.0% | +60.5% | -76.5% |
| 拉姆研究 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-04 | 59 | $316.90 | $233.00 | $340.10 | +7.3% | -26.5% | +33.8% |
| 卡特彼勒 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-03 | 60 | $830.03 | $295.00 | $826.35 | -0.4% | -64.5% | +64.0% |
| 微软 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-03 | 60 | $489.59 | $433.70 | $512.80 | +4.7% | -11.4% | +16.2% |
| 三花智控 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-03 | 60 | ¥38.61 | ¥26.05 | ¥35.71 | -7.5% | -32.5% | +25.0% |
| 昊志机电 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-03 | 60 | ¥64.29 | ¥44.50 | ¥66.50 | +3.4% | -30.8% | +34.2% |
| Affirm Holdings | 暂不介入 | 2026-08-03 | 60 | $75.42 | $40.80 | $76.46 | +1.4% | -45.9% | +47.3% |
| Datadog | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-03 | 60 | $276.50 | $135.00 | $276.46 | -0.0% | -51.2% | +51.2% |
| 赤峰黄金 | 谨慎关注 | 2026-07-31 | 63 | ¥39.56 | ¥32.10 | ¥39.56 | +0.0% | -18.9% | +18.9% |